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Expose Yourself! A Powerful
Technique for Breaking Emotional Patterns in Trading
Written by Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D
Traders love patterns. We trade chart patterns, oscillator
patterns, historical patterns, cyclical patternsyou name the
pattern, chances are theres someone trading it. Much of trading
boils down to patternrecognition and the ability to quickly identify
and act upon profitable patterns as they occur. This is particularly
challenging for active futures and options traders, who must read
the patterns, make their decisions,and place their orders within
a matter of seconds. Processing market patterns in the midst of
our own emotional patternsour tendencies toward impulsivity,
hesitation, frustration, and regretis one of the greatest
challenges of active trading.
It is always sobering for traders to realize that
they are every bit as patterned as the markets theyre tradingand
sometimes far more so. In this article, I will draw upon two decades
of experience as a clinical psychologist to illustrate a powerful
technique for interrupting and changing repetitive emotional and
behavioral patterns that disrupt trading. The technique is a cognitive-behavioral
method known as exposure, andin the Ranger tradition described
by Brace Barber, Linda Rashcke, and me in Septembers issueit
is a powerful tool for challenging oneself for exemplary performance.
Becoming Your Own Therapist
Extensive studies by Axel Cleeremans and Arthur
Reber suggest that, with sufficient experience, people can learn
to read patterns in data and anticipate future data sequences. Interestingly,
this pattern recognition is intuitive and implicit rather than verbalized:
we know things long before we know we know them. Such findings contradict
the common belief that successful trading requires an elimination
of emotions. Our feelings, like market data, consist of relatively
weakbut vitally importantsignals in the midst of considerable
noise. Our sensitivity to market patterns often remains hidden amidst
the pushes and pulls associated with trading fears and ambitions.
Traders can learn to become their own therapists by using techniques
such as exposure methods, not to dull or eradicate emotion, but
to gain control of their cognitive worlds and better extract signal
from noise.
The problem, you see, is not simply our patterns
of anxiety, guilt, anger, or discouragement. The problem is that
we cannot control these patterns. No one consciously plans to fail
to pull the trigger on a promisingtrade; nor does anyone want to
impulsively leap into a non-trending but volatile market before
evidence of a breakout is at hand. As I emphasize in The Psychology
of Trading (Wiley; January, 2003), such emotionaland behavioral
patterns play themselves out against the will of the trader, in
spite of our best-laid trading strategies and sophisticated market
research.
For most of us, the scenario is embarrassingly familiar:
We make plans to get into shape, to diet, or to treat others betterand
what happens? All too easily, we lapse into our ruts. At the time
we make ourresolutions we are sincere. But under the influence of
old patterns, the resolutions lose their force. The plans that we
had carefully crafted fall by the wayside, like so many good dieting
intentions.
Why?
Our trading (or dieting or exercise) plans are anchored
to a particular state of mindassociated with a particular
set of thoughts, feelings, and physical sensations. When something
intervenes to shift us to anotherstate, we lose our anchoring. We
no longer have vivid and immediate access to the motivating experiences
that spurred our initial intentions. The key is not to spend months
and years psychoanalyzing why we areself-defeating or
otherwise lack self-esteem. Rather, we need to become
our own therapists and learn to remain anchored, even in the face
of market and emotional forces that could disrupt our trading plans.That
is the purpose of exposure-based techniques.
Overcoming Problem Patterns Through Exposure
Lets take a classic example of how exposure
can break seemingly intractable emotional patterns. Ellen is suffering
from a condition known as panic disorder. Sudden, episodes of anxiety
hit at seemingly randommoments, greatly interfering with normal
activities. These episodes are so scary that she is afraid she is
losing control and might even die. As a result, Ellen develops a
fear of her panic episodessomethingknown as secondary
anxiety. Sure enough, her fear of the panic attacks leads
her to become increasingly anxious and actually triggers further
attacks. By the time Ellen makes it to therapy, she has been caughtin
a continuous cycle of worry, anxiety, and panic.
If I were using exposure methods with Ellen, I would
first teach her a skill, such as a deep-breathing, progressive muscle
relaxation method. This involves learning how to slow oneself down
by reducing the rate of respiration and deepening the breathing
while eliminating physical tension by gradually tensing and relaxing
muscle groups from one end of the body to the other.
Figure One Relaxation Training: A Useful Behavioral Technique
Step One: Deep Breathing Close your
eyes and begin breathing deeply, slowly, and rhythmically. Your
breathing should be from the diaphragm, and should not be forced
or exaggerated in any way. During the deep breathing, you keep your
body as still as possible, performing the exercise in a quiet, distraction-free
environment.
Step Two: Mental Focus Fix your attention
on a peaceful, relaxing stimulus while you are performing the deep
breathing. You can play instrumental music through headphones if
this is helpful and/or focus your attention on soothing mental images
or scenes. For instance, you could imagine yourself in vivid detail
walking along an ocean beach, smelling the salt spray, feeling the
warmth of the sun, hearing the crashing waves, etc. The key is to
make the music and/or imagery all absorbing, tuning out internal
chatter.
Step Three: Muscle Relaxation Once
you are feeling more relaxed, begin at one end of your body (such
as your toes) and tense and relax one musclegroup at a time, working
your way to the other end of your body. Tenrepetitions for each
muscle group, with hearty tensing and slow, easy relaxing,works
well. This can be performed while you are breathing slowly and deeply
tothe accompaniment of the music and/or imagery. >From toes and
instep tocalves, knees, thighs, buttocks, back, shoulders, arms,
wrists, fingers, neck,and forehead, you progressively undo your
bodys tension.
Step Four: Self-Awareness When you
have finished the muscle relaxation,slowly open your eyes and notice
how you are feeling. By now you have beenbreathing deeply and slowly,
with an altered focus and physical relaxation, forquite a few minutes.
Very often there are particular physical sensations thataccompany
your relaxed, focused mode that traders call the zone. I find that
Iexperience a quiet feeling in my head, as if I am somewhat removed
from theworld. Such sensations can become your cue, alerting you
that you haveentered the zone and are ready to deprogram old patterns
via exposure.
Note At first it
can take a while to get to the zone. With practice, you canbecome
very good at the breathing and muscle relaxation and enter the zonein
a matter of minutes or even seconds. The key is frequent rehearsal,
firstunder normal conditions, then under conditions of gradually
increasing stress.
Once Ellen has learned this method, the exposure can begin. I would
ask her to take a few rapid and shallow breaths, simulating hyperventilation.
This exposes Ellen to the some of the same physical sensations that
she experiences during the early phases of her panic attacks. It
also summons those panicky thoughts and feelings that have become
deeply associated with the physical sensations of anxiety. When
Ellen begins to re-experience a bit of her anxiety, I instruct her
to perform the deep breathing and muscle relaxation. She continues
with the relaxation work until the initial anxiety sensations are
eliminated.
After Ellen learns to extinguish the anxiety that
comes from a few rapid, shallow breaths and then from more prolonged
hyperventilation, I then have her perform more intensive exposure
exercises. I may have her spin around in the room, recreating the
feeling of dizziness that comes with her panic attacks. Later, I
might encourage her to provoke panicky sensations by entering situations
(such as a crowded shopping mall) that are associated with anxiety.
In each case, she would expose herself to the very problem pattern
that she has been trying to avoid, but would always limit the exposure
and immediately follow it with the rehearsal of a coping skill.
With daily practice between sessions, severe problems such as panic
disorder can be successfully treated within a matter of weeks.
What makes this technique work?
Most of our problem patterns are painful; no one
likes feeling anxious or depressed. It is only human nature to want
to avoid emotional pain. In avoiding our problems, however, we never
learn the control necessaryfor their elimination. By gradually and
progressively exposing ourselves to stressful circumstancesall
the while practicing ways of coping and maintaining controlwe
build a sense of mastery. This is how peoplelearn to overcome crippling
phobias and debilitating traumas. No amount of talk substitutes
for the first hand experience of directly facing fears time and
time again and staying in control. Repeated successchanges the self-image,
and it alters our self-talk. Suddenly, we really begin to feel and
believe, I can do this!
Applying Exposure Methods to Trading
If you are going to serve as your own therapist
in the exposure-based mode, the cardinal rule is: You always must
activate a problem pattern in order to overcome it. It isnt
enough to think about your problems ortalk about them. You must
actually experience your problem patterns in real time, gradually
and progressively, and make conscious efforts to counteract those
patterns. If your trading problem is triggered byincreasing your
size, you will need to gradually and steadily trade larger. If your
impulsive trading pattern occurs during trendless, low volatility
markets or in the opening minutes of trading, that is when you willneed
to work on yourself.
Fortunately, we can speed emotional change through
a process known as imaginal exposure . Imaginal exposure can be
thought of as the psychological equivalent of paper trading. Instead
of starting out withreal-time problem situations (known as in vivo
exposure), we can vividly imagine scenarios associated with our
negative patternstriggering some of the feelings of greed,
fear, doubt, and regretand mentallyrehearse strategies for
dealing with those scenarios. Imaginal exposure is not as powerful
as facing problems in vivo (much as paper trading lacks the immediacy
of actual trading), but it is a useful starting point inbuilding
the sense of success and mastery. Just as athletes have found mental
rehearsal to aid Olympic performance, the mental tackling of trading
challenges can prepare us for the real thing.
Lets consider an example:
Lou is an active futures trader, with a little over
a year of experience under his belt. He has made most of beginners
mistakes and has learned from them, carefully planning his trades,
limiting his losses, andscaling in and out of positions with initial
sizes that are adjusted for market volatility. He largely trades
the ES and NQ eminis in a short-term breakout mode, attempting to
catch 1-4 swings per day depending upontrend and volatility conditions.
His entries are based on dual RSI oscillator readings, using short-term
(intraday) and longer-term (swing) parameters. While he has been
generally successful, he notices that he hasperformed relatively
poorly on upside and downside trend days. He finds that he hesitates
too long in entering the market and then is too quick to exit the
trades once they are profitable. As a result, he takes smallbites
out of the moves that should be providing him with much of his profit.
An examination of problematic trend days reveals
that these begin with a gap at the open in which price moves sharply
up or down relative to the last trade of the previous day. This
gap immediately triggers negativethinking on Lous part, much
of which reflects feelings about having missed the apparent high
or low in the market. During this period of regret, he is not actively
following price action or planning an entry. Instead,he finds himself
hoping for a pullback so that he might have a better entry point
(and a reprieve from his self-recriminations). Price, of course,
does not accommodate to his desire and moves even further from theopen,
now registering an overbought or oversold
signal on the short-term oscillator. Lou uses this as further justification
to hold off on entering a position, allowing him to miss a good
segment of the morningtrend.
This problem seems unusually rookie-like for an
experienced trader, so we examine Lous overall trading performance.
Sure enough, we find that his worst losses have occurred when opening
gaps in the markethave been reversed. These false breakouts have
left him buying at the early highs and selling at the lows, starting
his day with solid losses and shaking his confidence. This allows
us to see that what appears to bethe problemthe failure to
enter the market early during trend daysis actually a coping
mechanism designed to minimize the possibility of losses. Unfortunately,
it also minimizes opportunities!
Our exposure therapy for Lou begins with skill teaching,
as in the case of Ellen. We teach Lou a method for behavioral self-control
that involves slow, rhythmic deep breathing and soothing imagery
and encouragehim to practice this until he becomes skilled at maintaining
his composure. In addition, however, we also want Lou to learn some
vital trading coping skills. He needs a set of rules for distinguishing
potential trenddays from those that may reverse and/or rules for
quickly identifying reversals once they occur. For example, his
own research and a little mentoring from experienced traders might
teach him that gaps that occuron X-period breakout highs or lows
in the NYSE TICK are more likely to show continuation than gaps
that occur without such breakouts. Alternately, he may find that
moves from opening gaps that remain intact byY oclock are
more likely to continue through the day than those that partially
fill.
Once Lou has identified his trading rules for the
problem situation and learned a method for cultivating self-control,
the exposure work is ready to begin. First we can start with imaginal
exposure, encouraging Lou toenter his relaxed mode with slow, diaphragmatic
breathing and eyes closed. In this mode, he vividly imagines an
preopening news report that sends the market gapping lower, well
outside its prior Globex range. Hemaintains the visualization of
the scenario as he practices his slow breathing and mentally rehearses
the appropriate trading strategies. Thus, for instance, he might
image the TICK plunging to a multi-day low onthe opening move and
the SP failing to fill its gap on the first TICK bounce toward zero.
This would be his trigger for a short entry, and he would clearly
visualize each step he would take in monitoring the market,placing
his order, setting his stops, etc. A similar set of visualizations
could also facilitate the rehearsal of exit strategies.
Once all discomfort is extinguished in the mental
rehearsals, the next step in exposure work would be applying the
skills in paper trading. Using historical market data, we would
have Lou advance charts bar by barin trading simulations of trend
days while rehearsing his self-control and trading strategies. Only
when these simulations proceed successfully (i.e., eliminating anxiety)
would Lou undertake real-time, in-vivoexposure, beginning with small
positions and building to larger ones. (The speed with which Lou
progresses from imaginal exposure to paper trading to in vivo work
would depend upon the severity of the problemsand the intensity
with which he rehearses the techniques. Research suggests that fewer
but longer, more intensive exposure sessions are more effective
in eliminating negative emotional patterns than a greaternumber
of brief exposures.)
The idea is that, before Lou confronts another potential
trending day in the market again, he will have experienced multiple
successes in handling such days in imagination and then on paper.
It is therepeated experience of mastery and success that provides
the power behind exposure-based intervention. Nothing so builds
confidence as repeatedly facing and overcoming ones fears.
(See Figure 2 for keys tosuccess in the exposure method).
Figure Two Keys to Success With Exposure Methods
Patience Taking the time to become
fully relaxed before starting the exposure is crucial. Give yourself
enough time to reach the zone (see Figure
One).
Persistence A key to extinguishing
negative patterns is repetition. Applying coping skills to problem
scenarios again and again, in imagery and in vivo
makes stressful situations safe and familiar.
Gradualism Set yourself up for success
by starting with manageable versions of your problem patterns and
imaginal exposure before tackling your
greatest challenges in vivo.
Consistency These are short-term techniques,
but applying them intensively and consistently on a daily basis
provides superior results.
Realism Exposure can break old problem
patterns, but by itself wont instill new patterns of success.
Nothing substitutes for experience and research in
the markets!
A Final Note
There are many psychological approaches that can
enable us to gain control of our problem patterns. Exposure-based
methods are particularly useful for futures and options traders
because they can beself-administered and often produce rapid results.
Such methods cannot overcome all problem patterns; sometimes people
with chronic difficulties need additional forms of treatment, including
medication.Nevertheless, when emotional reactions are situational
rather than chronicand especially when you can isolate the
trading situations that trigger the problem patternsexposure-based
techniques are excellent
mechanisms for gaining control and staying anchored to trading plans.
Notice, however, that I have emphasized the need
for proper, researched trading strategies to accompany the exposure
methods. As an experienced clinical psychologist and trader, I can
assure you that self-helptechniques alone will never enable you
to master the markets. If you want to know how to trade a candidate
trend day, an intraday range breakout, or an afternoon consolidation
of a morning trend, you damned well better have researched those
market conditions and generated some rules and techniques to guide
your entries and exits. Otherwise, you will be teaching yourself
to focus and relax while you lose your hard-earned capital.
What psychological methods can do is provide you
with the self-control to implement your well-researched trading
strategies. That is important. Consistency of effort, not the home
run trades we all like to talk about, best positions us for trading
success.
Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D. is Associate
Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY Upstate
Medical University. Dr. Steenbarger is an active trader and author
of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley, 2002). He writes feature columns
for the MSN Money website (www.moneycentral.com)
and several trading publications, including Stocks Futures and Options
Magazine (www.sfomag.com).
These articles and a daily trading weblog are linked at www.GreatSpeculations.com.
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